OptionSlam Blog

04/01/2010

RIMM follow up

Filed under: Optionslam Technical Analysis — Tags: , — MarkoFibo @ 7:26 pm

the bullish RIMM trade got spanked hard.  RIMM disappointed and the market punished the stock.  Therefore any bullish options strategy such as the one I suggested got hammered.  Personally I think to repair the strategy is only to take on more risk than I am willing to do.  But if anyone is interested in increasing their risk, I would look at selling the long contracts, holding the shorts, and possibly reversing bias further by purchasing a bearish vertical put spread.  About face!  but again to repeat my own sentiments.  I will chalk it up to experience and take the small loss by closing the trade and walking away.

good trading

Marko

03/20/2010

RIMM Earnings Play- is it a Coin Flip ?

Filed under: Optionslam Technical Analysis — Tags: , — MarkoFibo @ 9:59 am

RIMM earnings is coming up soon and some might think it’s a flip of the coin which way it will go.  But with just a little research at www.OptionSlam.com you can get a certain edge and confidence in your trading decisions.  In the screen shot posted here you will discover that RIMM has gapped up 6 out of the last 10 earnings. (that’s pretty good odds)    Both previous April Earnings were gainers.  (nice timing cycle)    Each of those 6 times RIMM held the one day gap gains through into the end of the April Options Expiration cycle.  Four of those 6 times it increased the one day gap gain into the option ex. Date.

With these seemingly bullish implications a trader might consider a vertical spread that has a nice risk reward ratio.  In the example below you risk $156.00 to make $344.00 .  That’s better than a 1:2 ROI  !  Furthermore RIMM only needs to go up 4% to get to your break even point.

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